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Karvan vs Salyan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2011/2012
Karvan Logo

Karvan

2 - 0
FT
Salyan Logo

Salyan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karvan in this First Division 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karvan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Karvan
35%
Draws
32%
Salyan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Salyan have won more games recently than Karvan.
  • Win probability leans Karvan's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular First Division 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Karvan Clean Sheet 16%
Salyan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karvan Salyan
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2012 I Liqa
Karvan vs Salyan
2:0
Oct 15, 2011 I Liqa
Salyan vs Karvan
0:6
Apr 24, 2010 Premier League
Salyan vs Karvan
2:3
Mar 20, 2010 Premier League
Karvan vs Salyan
0:0
Dec 18, 2009 Premier League
Karvan vs Salyan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karvan 41 / 100
Salyan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karvan Salyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Salyan conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Karvan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Karvan found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

Karvan VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karvan

(Home)
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
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Salyan

(Away)
12 May
Salyan
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
28 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
1 : 1
Salyan
21 Apr
Salyan
2 : 1
Taraggi
14 Apr
Shamkir
1 : 0
Salyan
08 Apr
Salyan
2 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokbatan 52 36 7 9 92:33 115
2 Sahdag Qusar 52 26 14 12 91:55 92
3 Bakili Baku 52 27 9 16 73:52 90
4 MKT Araz Imisli 52 26 6 20 84:77 84
5 Karvan 52 23 12 17 81:62 81
6 ANSAD Neftcala 52 21 13 18 70:64 76
7 Abseron 26 22 4 0 75:6 70
8 Ravan 26 19 3 4 54:14 60
9 Shamkir 52 14 14 24 53:74 56
10 Susa 52 10 16 26 41:64 46
11 SumQayit FK 26 13 5 8 34:26 44
12 Mingachevir 52 10 13 29 38:95 43
13 Bilajary 26 10 6 10 37:33 36
14 Taraggi 26 9 4 13 28:30 31
15 Salyan 26 9 4 13 26:43 31
16 Goyazan Qazax 52 6 8 38 39:124 26
17 MOIK Baku 26 7 4 15 34:44 25
18 Adliyya Baku 26 3 4 19 13:67 13
Promotion - Premier League 2012/2013 (Main)