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Karvan vs Susa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2013/2014
Karvan Logo

Karvan

1 - 1
FT
Susa Logo

Susa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2013/2014 game between Karvan and Susa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Karvan
30%
Draws
8%
Susa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karvan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Susa come out ahead of Karvan on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Karvan taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Karvan Clean Sheet 20%
Susa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karvan Susa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.82 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2014 I Liqa
Susa vs Karvan
1:1
Dec 8, 2013 I Liqa
Karvan vs Susa
1:1
Mar 17, 2012 I Liqa
Susa vs Karvan
2:0
Oct 22, 2011 I Liqa
Karvan vs Susa
2:1
Mar 19, 2011 I Liqa
Susa vs Karvan
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karvan 85 / 100
Susa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karvan Susa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Susa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Karvan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Susa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karvan VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karvan

(Home)
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
Page 1 of 7

Susa

(Away)
27 May
Susa
1 : 2
Agsu (Inactive)
23 May
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Susa
14 May
Susa
1 : 2
Kapaz
07 May
ANSAD Neftcala
3 : 2
Susa
30 Apr
Susa
1 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 30 25 4 1 66:11 79
2 ANSAD Neftcala 30 21 5 4 80:22 68
3 Lokbatan 30 18 9 3 52:14 63
4 Agsu (Inactive) 30 17 7 6 56:26 58
5 Sahdag Qusar 30 16 7 7 55:22 55
6 Susa 30 15 9 6 60:26 54
7 Turan 30 13 5 12 52:46 44
8 Karvan 30 12 6 12 46:56 42
9 Imisli FK 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
10 Bilajary 30 12 3 15 42:58 39
11 Shamkir 30 8 7 15 28:42 31
12 MOIK Baku 30 7 8 15 37:56 29
13 Kapaz 30 7 4 19 29:37 25
14 Bakili Baku 30 6 6 18 34:60 24
15 Goyazan Qazax 30 3 2 25 13:89 11
16 Mingachevir 30 2 5 23 11:92 11
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