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Karvina B vs Nove Mesto na Morave

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL 2025/2026 Stadion Kovona
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hudak K.
21' Event
Usman I.
28'
Baca D.

AI Match Summary

The 3. MSFL 2025/2026 game between Karvina B and Nove Mesto na Morave finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nove Mesto na Morave.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Karvina B
33%
Draws
27%
Nove Mesto na Morave
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Karvina B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nove Mesto na Morave come out ahead of Karvina B on wins alone.
  • Karvina B are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular 3. MSFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Karvina B Clean Sheet 15%
Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karvina B Nove Mesto na Morave
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 3. MSFL
Karvina B vs Nove Mesto na Morave
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Karvina B
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karvina B Compare

Top Goalscorer Brzoska P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conde O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Top Goalscorer Usman I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hudak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karvina B 39 / 100
Nove Mesto na Morave 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karvina B Nove Mesto na Morave

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Karvina B scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nove Mesto na Morave conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Karvina B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karvina B VS Nove Mesto na Morave
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trinec34237475:2776
2Hodonin34217677:3970
3Unicov341810655:4164
4Brno B342041070:4764
5Sigma Olomouc B341951071:3362
6FK Frydek-Mistek341611754:3959
7Nove Mesto na Morave341671164:5155
8Hlubina341391253:4948
9Vsetin341361552:5445
10Vitkovice341271551:5643
11Zlin B3411101357:6443
12Slovacko B349111449:5938
13Polanka nad Odrou34981737:6235
14FK Blansko341032147:7933
15Karvina B34881840:6032
16SK Hranice34791838:6130
17Hlucin34772041:7328
18TJ Start Brno344111932:6923