Sport Picks

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Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Mercari Stadium
Kashima Antlers Logo

Kashima Antlers

1 - 0
FT
FC Tokyo Logo

FC Tokyo

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Muroya S.
62'
Sub
Leo Ceara In: Morooka S.
Out: Leo Ceara
62'
Sub
Cavric A. In: Hayashu H.
Out: Cavric A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kashima Antlers in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashima Antlers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kashima Antlers
6%
Draws
4%
FC Tokyo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashima Antlers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kashima Antlers have won more games recently than FC Tokyo.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kashima Antlers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kashima Antlers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 68%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashima Antlers FC Tokyo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 22 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashima Antlers Compare

Top Goalscorer Morooka S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Tokyo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashima Antlers 95 / 100
FC Tokyo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashima Antlers FC Tokyo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kashima Antlers scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

FC Tokyo has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kashima Antlers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kashima Antlers VS FC Tokyo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121