Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Mercari Stadium, Kashima

Kashima Antlers

1 - 0

Urawa Reds

Our Tip

Match Events

61'

Shibato K.

64'

Sub

Tagawa K. In: Morooka S.

Out: Tagawa K.

64'

Sub

Matsumura Y. In: Hayashu H.

Out: Matsumura Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Kashima Antlers and Urawa Reds finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashima Antlers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kashima Antlers

Draws

Urawa Reds

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashima Antlers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kashima Antlers come out ahead of Urawa Reds on wins alone.
Model gives Kashima Antlers a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 68%

Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kashima Antlers	Urawa Reds
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	22	13
Draws	4	3
Losses	4	15
Goals Scored	1.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 J1 League

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds

1:0

Feb 28, 2026 J1 League

Urawa Reds vs Kashima Antlers

2:3

Sep 20, 2025 J1 League

Urawa Reds vs Kashima Antlers

0:1

Mar 16, 2025 J1 League

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds

1:1

Aug 17, 2024 J1 League

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashima Antlers Compare

Top Goalscorer Nono K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Urawa Reds Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashima Antlers 95 / 100

Urawa Reds 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kashima Antlers Urawa Reds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kashima Antlers scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Urawa Reds conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Kashima Antlers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kashima Antlers VS Urawa Reds

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashima Antlers

(Home)

15 Jul

Kashima Antlers

5 : 0

Vegalta Sendai

06 Jun

Kashima Antlers

2 : 0

Vissel Kobe

30 May

Vissel Kobe

5 : 0

Kashima Antlers

23 May

Kashima Antlers

1 : 0

FC Tokyo

17 May

Chiba

0 : 2

Kashima Antlers

Page 1 of 6

Urawa Reds

(Away)

21 Jul

Urawa Reds

2 : 0

Fujieda MYFC

17 Jul

Ryukyu

5 : 4

Urawa Reds

06 Jun

Urawa Reds

0 : 2

Okayama

31 May

Okayama

1 : 1

Urawa Reds

22 May

Machida Zelvia

1 : 0

Urawa Reds

Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)