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Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds

Japan Japan

J1 League Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Danilo Boza
20' Event
Suzuki Y.
Own Goal
42'
Seko T.

AI Match Summary

Urawa Reds in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urawa Reds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kashima Antlers
15%
Draws
54%
Urawa Reds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urawa Reds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Urawa Reds haven't matched Kashima Antlers's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 11%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashima Antlers Urawa Reds
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 23 11
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.2 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Kashima Antlers
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Kashima Antlers
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashima Antlers 30 / 100
Urawa Reds 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashima Antlers Urawa Reds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kashima Antlers scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Urawa Reds conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kashima Antlers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kashima Antlers VS Urawa Reds
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashima Antlers

(Home)
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1
Newcastle Jets
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
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Urawa Reds

(Away)
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
29 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 8 6 1 1 12:5 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol 8 6 0 2 17:12 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
8 Kashima Antlers 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Gamba Osaka 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)