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Kashima Antlers vs Verdy

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Mercari Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Suzuki Y.
Assist: Shibasaki G.
40'
Sub
Matheus In: Nagasawa Y.
Out: Matheus
45' Event
Suzuki Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Kashima Antlers in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashima Antlers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kashima Antlers
6%
Draws
4%
Verdy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashima Antlers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kashima Antlers lately — more wins on the board than Verdy.
  • Model gives Kashima Antlers a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 68%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashima Antlers Verdy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Verdy
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Verdy
4:0
Aug 25, 2024 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashima Antlers Compare

Top Goalscorer Suzuki Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Verdy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashima Antlers 95 / 100
Verdy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashima Antlers Verdy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kashima Antlers's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Verdy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Kashima Antlers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kashima Antlers VS Verdy
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121