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Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Nakagawa N.
Assist: Mitsumaru H.
19'
Gokita K.
31' Event
Osaki K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Kashiwa Reysol in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashiwa Reysol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kashiwa Reysol
6%
Draws
4%
Mito
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kashiwa Reysol lately — more wins on the board than Mito.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kashiwa Reysol taking it.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%
Mito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Mito
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 0 1
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 J1 League
Mito vs Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito
3:0
Oct 14, 2019 J2 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito
2:3
May 19, 2019 J2 League
Mito vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:0
Oct 31, 2010 J2 League
Mito vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakagawa N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Segawa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Mito Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 95 / 100
Mito 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashiwa Reysol Mito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mito lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kashiwa Reysol scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Mito let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Mito
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)
06 Jun
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 1
Kyoto
30 May
Kyoto
2 : 6
Kashiwa Reysol
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Chiba
16 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
10 May
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 0
Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6

Mito

(Away)
06 Jun
Mito
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
30 May
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0
Mito
24 May
Mito
1 : 3
Kawasaki Frontale
16 May
Mito
0 : 1
Verdy
09 May
Mito
1 : 4
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)