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Kashiwa Reysol vs Port MTI FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kashiwa Reysol host Port MTI FC in the AFC Champions League. This one's hard to separate. Kashiwa Reysol have averaged 1.96 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Port MTI FC's 2.18 scored and 1.18 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.25, favoring Port MTI FC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Kashiwa Reysol
15%
Draws
28%
Port MTI FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kashiwa Reysol lately — more wins on the board than Port MTI FC.
  • Model gives Kashiwa Reysol a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 19%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Port MTI FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 17
Draws 0 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.96 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 85 / 100
Port MTI FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashiwa Reysol Port MTI FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kashiwa Reysol scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Port MTI FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Kashiwa Reysol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Port MTI FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Port MTI FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)
09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Vissel Kobe
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4
Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6

Port MTI FC

(Away)
08 Oct
Port MTI FC
1 : 3
Persib Bandung
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)