Sport Picks
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa 
Match Events
19'
19'
Miyaichi R.
Assist: Tanimura K.
38'
38'
Suwama K.
43'
43'
Endo K.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama F. Marinos finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yokohama F. Marinos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Kashiwa Reysol carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Kashiwa Reysol a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Kashiwa Reysol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 14%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kashiwa Reysol | Yokohama F. Marinos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:2
May 16, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 J.League Cup
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kashiwa Reysol Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Yokohama F. Marinos Compare
Top Goalscorer Miyaichi R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nitta R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kashiwa Reysol 66 / 100
Yokohama F. Marinos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kashiwa Reysol Yokohama F. Marinos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kashiwa Reysol scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Yokohama F. Marinos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Kashiwa Reysol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kashiwa Reysol VS Yokohama F. Marinos
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kashiwa Reysol
(Home) 09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Vissel Kobe
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4 Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Vissel Kobe
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4 Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Aug
Kashiwa Reysol
2 : 1 Senshu University
Page 1 of 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
(Away) 10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0 Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
29 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 5 |
| 20 | Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:14 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
