Sport Picks
Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor Prediction & H2H Stats
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul 
Match Events
12'
12'
Hwang Ui-Jo
22'
22'
Arous A.
45'
45'
Akdag U.
AI Match Summary
Kasimpasa in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kasimpasa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kasimpasa lately — more wins on the board than Alanyaspor.
- Model gives Kasimpasa a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Kasimpasa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 20%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kasimpasa | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa
1:2
Feb 4, 2024 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kasimpasa Compare
Top Goalscorer Kahveci I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Alanyaspor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kasimpasa 42 / 100
Alanyaspor 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kasimpasa Alanyaspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kasimpasa scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Kasimpasa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Alanyaspor conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Kasimpasa VS Alanyaspor
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kasimpasa
(Home) 03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1 F. Karagumruk
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0 Konyaspor
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2 Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2 Amedspor
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Kasimpasa
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1 F. Karagumruk
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0 Konyaspor
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2 Amedspor
15 Aug
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Trabzonspor
08 Aug
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Samsunspor
Page 1 of 4
Alanyaspor
(Away) 19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2 Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1 Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 Besiktas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2 Alanyaspor
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1 Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
15 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 1 Alanyaspor
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)
