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Kasimpasa vs Besiktas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kasimpasa host Besiktas in the Super Lig. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Kasimpasa have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Besiktas's 1.69 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Kasimpasa slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.94, favoring Besiktas. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kasimpasa
20%
Draws
33%
Besiktas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kasimpasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kasimpasa haven't matched Besiktas's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Kasimpasa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 10%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasimpasa Besiktas
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 12 19
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Kasimpasa
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Besiktas
1:1
Apr 7, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Besiktas
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Kasimpasa
1:3
May 26, 2024 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Besiktas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasimpasa 47 / 100
Besiktas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasimpasa Besiktas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasimpasa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kasimpasa found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Besiktas let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kasimpasa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kasimpasa VS Besiktas
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasimpasa

(Home)
18 Oct
Kasimpasa
4 : 1
Samsunspor
09 Oct
Galatasaray
3 : 1
Kasimpasa
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0
Konyaspor
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Kasimpasa
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Besiktas

(Away)
22 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 2
Crystal Palace
19 Oct
Trabzonspor
2 : 0
Besiktas
15 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Besiktas
11 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 1
Kocaelispor
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2
Besiktas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 8 6 1 1 17:11 19
2 Amedspor 8 5 2 1 18:9 17
3 Fenerbahce 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
4 Trabzonspor 8 5 1 2 18:5 16
5 Besiktas 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
6 Corum FK 8 4 1 3 18:13 13
7 Kasimpasa 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
8 Kocaelispor 8 4 0 4 9:8 12
9 Alanyaspor 8 3 3 2 8:9 12
10 Basaksehir 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
11 Erzurumspor FK 8 3 2 3 5:11 11
12 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
13 Goztepe 8 2 3 3 17:16 9
14 Gaziantep 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
15 Genclerbirligi 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
16 Konyaspor 8 1 2 5 4:9 5
17 Samsunspor 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
18 Eyupspor 8 1 0 7 2:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)