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Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Yalcin G.
47' Event
Yalcin G.
59' Event
Mendes E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Kasimpasa and Samsunspor finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kasimpasa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Kasimpasa
20%
Draws
22%
Samsunspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kasimpasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samsunspor come out ahead of Kasimpasa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kasimpasa a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 68%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasimpasa Samsunspor
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor
3:0
Jan 30, 2026 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kasimpasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Yalcin G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Samsunspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasimpasa 86 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasimpasa Samsunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasimpasa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kasimpasa scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Samsunspor has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kasimpasa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kasimpasa VS Samsunspor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasimpasa

(Home)
09 Oct
Galatasaray
3 : 1
Kasimpasa
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0
Konyaspor
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Amedspor
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Samsunspor

(Away)
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Rizespor
0 : 2
Samsunspor
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