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Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau 2 vs FC Astana 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Abdulla N.
Assist: Zhumabay R.
7' Event
Kuantay A.
19' Event
Elemes N.
Assist: Zhumabay E.

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaspij Aktau 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kaspij Aktau 2
15%
Draws
59%
FC Astana 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Astana 2 lately — more wins on the board than Kaspij Aktau 2.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 14%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau 2 FC Astana 2
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs FC Astana 2
6:0
Jul 2, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kaspij Aktau 2
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulla N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuantay A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Astana 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 2 35 / 100
FC Astana 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau 2 FC Astana 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Kaspij Aktau 2 scored in 58% of their last 24 outings.

Kaspij Aktau 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau 2 VS FC Astana 2
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaspij Aktau 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 5

FC Astana 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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