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Kaspij Aktau 2 vs FC Ekibastuz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Zhumabay R.
Assist: Kuantay A.
36' Event
Abdulla N.
Assist: Armenov A.
55' Event
Islam N.
Assist: Abdulla N.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Kaspij Aktau 2 and FC Ekibastuz finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaspij Aktau 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kaspij Aktau 2
15%
Draws
21%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaspij Aktau 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kaspij Aktau 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 13%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau 2 FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
3:0
Apr 23, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kaspij Aktau 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumabay R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulla N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 2 84 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau 2 FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaspij Aktau 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: FC Ekibastuz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Kaspij Aktau 2 scored in 58% of their last 24 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau 2 VS FC Ekibastuz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaspij Aktau 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 5

FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
Khan Tengri
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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