Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Khan Tengri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau 2 host Khan Tengri in the First League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kaspij Aktau 2 at 1.46 goals for, 1.71 against; Khan Tengri at 1.27 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Kaspij Aktau 2 have won 0 to Khan Tengri's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.50) point toward Kaspij Aktau 2. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kaspij Aktau 2
20%
Draws
50%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khan Tengri come out ahead of Kaspij Aktau 2 on wins alone.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau 2 Khan Tengri
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.46 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Kaspij Aktau 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 2 30 / 100
Khan Tengri 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau 2 Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaspij Aktau 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khan Tengri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Kaspij Aktau 2's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kaspij Aktau 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau 2 VS Khan Tengri
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaspij Aktau 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 5

Khan Tengri

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
Khan Tengri
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)