Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Nurmugamet R.
Assist: Vasilchenko D.
71' Event
Asylbaev R.
Assist: Zaynetdinov D.

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhter Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kaspij Aktau 2
6%
Draws
90%
Shakhter Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shakhter Karagandy lately — more wins on the board than Kaspij Aktau 2.
  • Shakhter Karagandy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau 2 Shakhter Karagandy
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 4 20
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurmugamet R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asylbaev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 2 10 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau 2 Shakhter Karagandy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kaspij Aktau 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kaspij Aktau 2 scored in 57% of their last 14 outings.

Shakhter Karagandy has conceded goals in 34% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau 2 VS Shakhter Karagandy
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417