Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Taraz Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 Logo

Kaspij Aktau 2

1 - 0
FT
Taraz Logo

Taraz

Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Armenov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaspij Aktau 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Kaspij Aktau 2
35%
Draws
56%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Taraz lately — more wins on the board than Kaspij Aktau 2.
  • Taraz are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Taraz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau 2 Taraz
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Taraz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Armenov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Taraz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 2 23 / 100
Taraz 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau 2 Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taraz has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Kaspij Aktau 2 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (23 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Kaspij Aktau 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau 2 VS Taraz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaspij Aktau 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

Taraz

(Away)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)