Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2024 Zhestar Stadium

Kaspij Aktau

3 - 0

Akzhayik Uralsk

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Aymanov A.

17'

Marat D.

58'

Sub

Nusip A. In: Konlimkos B.

Out: Nusip A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau in this First Division 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaspij Aktau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kaspij Aktau

Draws

Akzhayik Uralsk

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kaspij Aktau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Akzhayik Uralsk haven't matched Kaspij Aktau's recent run of results.
Model gives Kaspij Aktau a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular First Division 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 68%

Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kaspij Aktau	Akzhayik Uralsk
Matches Played	38	28
Wins	22	7
Draws	5	3
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 First League

Kaspij Aktau vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Jun 11, 2024 First League

Akzhayik Uralsk vs Kaspij Aktau

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Oct 29, 2022 Premier League

Kaspij Aktau vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Aug 20, 2022 Premier League

Akzhayik Uralsk vs Kaspij Aktau

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Aug 13, 2022 Kazakhstan Cup

Kaspij Aktau vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau Compare

Top Goalscorer Aymanov A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marat D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Akzhayik Uralsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 95 / 100

Akzhayik Uralsk 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kaspij Aktau Akzhayik Uralsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akzhayik Uralsk has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kaspij Aktau scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Kaspij Aktau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Okzhetpes	28	20	3	5	61:16	63
2	Ulytau	28	19	3	6	69:29	60
3	Kaspij Aktau	28	18	4	6	63:29	58
4	Kairat Almaty 2	28	18	3	7	67:43	57
5	Khan Tengri	28	17	4	7	55:30	55
6	FC Ekibastuz	28	16	3	9	54:36	51
7	Zhetisay	28	14	6	8	50:37	48
8	Taraz	28	12	5	11	37:34	41
9	Altai	28	11	5	12	31:37	38
10	SD Family	28	9	4	15	53:64	31
11	Akzhayik Uralsk	28	7	3	18	24:48	24
12	Kaisar Kyzylorda 2	28	5	7	16	23:56	22
13	Turkistan	28	4	7	17	26:70	19
14	Aktobe 2	28	3	3	22	25:73	12
15	Arys	28	5	4	19	28:64	10
16	FK Kyran	0	0	0	0	0:0	0