Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau vs FK Kyran

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2024 Zhestar Stadium
Thu, Aug 1, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau host FK Kyran in the First Division 2024. Kaspij Aktau are expected to control this from the start. FK Kyran have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Kaspij Aktau have conceded 1.38 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Kaspij Aktau have won 2 to FK Kyran's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.19, favoring Kaspij Aktau. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kaspij Aktau
39%
Draws
31%
FK Kyran
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaspij Aktau come out ahead of FK Kyran on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular First Division 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kyran Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau FK Kyran
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 16 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2024 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs FK Kyran
0:0
May 30, 2024 First League
FK Kyran vs Kaspij Aktau
0:3
Oct 20, 2019 First League
FK Kyran vs Kaspij Aktau
5:1
Jun 29, 2019 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs FK Kyran
3:1
Oct 27, 2018 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs FK Kyran
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 31 / 100
FK Kyran 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau FK Kyran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kyran let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

FK Kyran's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kaspij Aktau found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes28203561:1663
2Ulytau28193669:2960
3Kaspij Aktau28184663:2958
4Kairat Almaty 228183767:4357
5Khan Tengri28174755:3055
6FC Ekibastuz28163954:3651
7Zhetisay28146850:3748
8Taraz281251137:3441
9Altai281151231:3738
10SD Family28941553:6431
11Akzhayik Uralsk28731824:4824
12Kaisar Kyzylorda 228571623:5622
13Turkistan28471726:7019
14Aktobe 228332225:7312
15Arys28541928:6410
16FK Kyran00000:00