Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau vs Ile-Saulet

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau play Ile-Saulet in the First Division 2012. Ile-Saulet are favorites here. Recently, Kaspij Aktau averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Ile-Saulet averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Kaspij Aktau won 2, Ile-Saulet won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 21, 2013 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Kaspij Aktau and 1.00 for Ile-Saulet. This points to a Ile-Saulet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Kaspij Aktau
25%
Draws
60%
Ile-Saulet
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ile-Saulet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaspij Aktau picked up more points recently compared to Ile-Saulet.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 23%
Ile-Saulet Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau Ile-Saulet
Matches Played 48 30
Wins 27 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.94 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2013 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Ile-Saulet
1:0
May 9, 2013 First League
Ile-Saulet vs Kaspij Aktau
0:1
Sep 2, 2012 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Ile-Saulet
0:0
Jun 10, 2012 First League
Ile-Saulet vs Kaspij Aktau
3:0
Sep 13, 2011 First League
Ile-Saulet vs Kaspij Aktau
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 18 / 100
Ile-Saulet 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau Ile-Saulet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ile-Saulet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ile-Saulet & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kaspij Aktau attacking → ← attacking Ile-Saulet

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaspij Aktau scored in 81% of their last 48 games.

Ile-Saulet let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Kaspij Aktau went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ile-Saulet lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

87 Points in last 5 53
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ile-Saulet301710352:2061
2Vostok Oskemen30169540:2157
3Zhenis30169538:1757
4Bayterek Astana301411539:1953
5FK Kyran301461051:3848
6Spartak Semey301441238:4546
7Shakhtar Bulat301210830:2346
8Kaspij Aktau301271139:3143
9Ak Bulak301181134:2941
10Taraz-Karatau 2301181133:2841
11Kyzylzhar301171236:4340
12FC Ekibastuz301141545:4337
13Kairat Almaty 230991237:4136
14Aktobe Zhas30822031:6226
15CSKA Almaty30462018:5518
16Shymkent30342320:6613