Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau vs Okzhetpes

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Zhestar Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Borodin D.
19'
Lototskyi B.
25' Event
Sovpel V.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kaspij Aktau and Okzhetpes finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kaspij Aktau
6%
Draws
4%
Okzhetpes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kaspij Aktau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaspij Aktau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kaspij Aktau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 68%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau Okzhetpes
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Okzhetpes
1:3
Jul 17, 2024 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Okzhetpes
0:1
Jun 14, 2024 First League
Okzhetpes vs Kaspij Aktau
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kaspij Aktau
3:3
Apr 15, 2023 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Okzhetpes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndombasi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Omirtaev O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sovpel V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 95 / 100
Okzhetpes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau Okzhetpes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaspij Aktau found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Okzhetpes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kaspij Aktau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau VS Okzhetpes
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211