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Kastoria vs Asteras Stavrou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asteras Stavrou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Stavrou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kastoria
20%
Draws
50%
Asteras Stavrou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asteras Stavrou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Asteras Stavrou have won more games recently than Kastoria.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 17%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastoria Asteras Stavrou
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kastoria vs Asteras Stavrou
0:1
Sep 24, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Stavrou vs Kastoria
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastoria 36 / 100
Asteras Stavrou 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastoria Asteras Stavrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Stavrou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asteras Stavrou has conceded goals in 66% of their last 38 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Kastoria found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Kastoria stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kastoria VS Asteras Stavrou
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastoria

(Home)
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
20 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Asteras Petriti
14 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Zakynthos
07 Apr
Magnisiakos
0 : 3
Kastoria
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Stavrou

(Away)
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethnikos Neou 34 24 6 4 57:18 78
2 Nea Artaki 34 23 7 4 62:19 76
3 Svoronos FC 34 21 9 4 63:23 72
4 Zakynthos 34 16 10 8 50:30 58
5 Pierikos 34 16 7 11 49:27 55
6 Anagennisi Arta 34 16 6 12 35:33 54
7 Kileler 34 15 8 11 36:22 53
8 Asteras Stavrou 34 15 7 12 38:35 52
9 Thesprotos 34 16 4 14 54:45 52
10 AO Trikala 34 14 10 10 49:37 52
11 Asteras Petriti 34 15 5 14 36:38 50
12 Eordaikos 34 13 11 10 39:30 50
13 Thyella Katsikas 34 13 9 12 49:32 48
14 Lefkimmi 34 9 6 19 37:51 33
15 Kastoria 34 9 6 19 35:52 33
16 Vataniakos 34 8 7 19 36:67 31
17 Fikis 33 2 1 30 12:90 -8
18 Magnisiakos 33 0 1 32 1:89 -14
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)