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Kastoria vs Ethnikos Neou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Neou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kastoria
15%
Draws
64%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Neou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ethnikos Neou lately — more wins on the board than Kastoria.
  • Model gives Ethnikos Neou a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 18%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastoria Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.03 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kastoria vs Ethnikos Neou
0:2
Oct 7, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Kastoria
4:1
Feb 12, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kastoria vs Ethnikos Neou
0:0
Nov 13, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Kastoria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastoria 23 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastoria Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Neou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Neou let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Kastoria found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Kastoria has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kastoria VS Ethnikos Neou
0.33 Goals Scored 2.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastoria

(Home)
04 Oct
Kastoria
0 : 1
Makedonikos Siatista
27 Sept
Vatolakkos
0 : 1
Kastoria
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
20 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Asteras Petriti
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 0
Feraios
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethnikos Neou 34 24 6 4 57:18 78
2 Nea Artaki 34 23 7 4 62:19 76
3 Svoronos FC 34 21 9 4 63:23 72
4 Zakynthos 34 16 10 8 50:30 58
5 Pierikos 34 16 7 11 49:27 55
6 Anagennisi Arta 34 16 6 12 35:33 54
7 Kileler 34 15 8 11 36:22 53
8 Asteras Stavrou 34 15 7 12 38:35 52
9 Thesprotos 34 16 4 14 54:45 52
10 AO Trikala 34 14 10 10 49:37 52
11 Asteras Petriti 34 15 5 14 36:38 50
12 Eordaikos 34 13 11 10 39:30 50
13 Thyella Katsikas 34 13 9 12 49:32 48
14 Lefkimmi 34 9 6 19 37:51 33
15 Kastoria 34 9 6 19 35:52 33
16 Vataniakos 34 8 7 19 36:67 31
17 Fikis 33 2 1 30 12:90 -8
18 Magnisiakos 33 0 1 32 1:89 -14
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)