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Kastoria vs Makedonikos Siatista - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
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AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 game between Kastoria and Makedonikos Siatista finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Makedonikos Siatista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Kastoria
15%
Draws
69%
Makedonikos Siatista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Makedonikos Siatista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Kastoria have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Makedonikos Siatista are scoring more at 1.04.
  • Model gives Makedonikos Siatista a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 19%
Makedonikos Siatista Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastoria Makedonikos Siatista
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Kastoria vs Makedonikos Siatista
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastoria 10 / 100
Makedonikos Siatista 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastoria Makedonikos Siatista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Makedonikos Siatista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kastoria scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Makedonikos Siatista has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kastoria remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kastoria VS Makedonikos Siatista
0.63 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastoria

(Home)
10 Oct
Doxa Mascholouriou
2 : 1
Kastoria
04 Oct
Kastoria
0 : 1
Makedonikos Siatista
27 Sept
Vatolakkos
0 : 1
Kastoria
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
Page 1 of 6

Makedonikos Siatista

(Away)
10 Oct
Vatolakkos
0 : 3
Makedonikos Siatista
04 Oct
Kastoria
0 : 1
Makedonikos Siatista
27 Sept
Makedonikos Siatista
0 : 0
Eordaikos
14 Apr
Grevena Aerata
0 : 2
Makedonikos Siatista
07 Apr
Floriada
0 : 3
Makedonikos Siatista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Makedonikos Siatista 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Anagennisi Arta 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Veria 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
4 Doxa Mascholouriou 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
5 Eordaikos 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Alexandros Florinas 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
7 Kastoria 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
8 Naousa 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
9 Giannina 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Thyella Katsikas 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 Vatolakkos 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Losers stage)