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Kastrioti vs Besa Kavaje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kastrioti host Besa Kavaje in the Kategoria e Parë. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Kastrioti at 1.3 goals for, 1.63 against; Besa Kavaje at 1.72 for, 1.16 against. Head-to-head, Kastrioti have won 1 to Besa Kavaje's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.00, favoring Besa Kavaje. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kastrioti
15%
Draws
53%
Besa Kavaje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Besa Kavaje lately — more wins on the board than Kastrioti.
  • Besa Kavaje are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 10%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastrioti Besa Kavaje
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Besa Kavaje
2:3
Nov 24, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Besa Kavaje
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Kastrioti
1:1
Mar 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Besa Kavaje
2:3
Dec 8, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Besa Kavaje
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastrioti 22 / 100
Besa Kavaje 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastrioti Besa Kavaje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Kastrioti's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Besa Kavaje conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Kastrioti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kastrioti VS Besa Kavaje
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastrioti

(Home)
28 Oct
Kukesi
1 : 0
Kastrioti
24 Oct
Kastrioti
0 : 1
Iliria Kruja
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
4 : 1
Kastrioti
11 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Oriku
07 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Luzi
Page 1 of 6

Besa Kavaje

(Away)
28 Oct
Bylis
0 : 0
Besa Kavaje
24 Oct
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Oct
Kukesi
2 : 0
Besa Kavaje
11 Oct
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Iliria Kruja
07 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 1
KS Devolli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kukesi 8 5 0 3 11:8 15
2 Iliria Kruja 8 4 3 1 9:6 15
3 Besa Kavaje 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
4 Pogradeci 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
5 Flamurtari 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
6 Bylis 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
7 Beselidhja Lezha 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
8 Korabi Peshkopi 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
9 Kastrioti 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
10 Sopoti Librazhd 8 1 4 3 10:17 7
11 Burreli 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
12 KF Oriku 8 0 2 6 3:16 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)