Sport Picks
Kastrioti vs Besa Kavaje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Albania
Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Kastrioti and Besa Kavaje finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Besa Kavaje.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Besa Kavaje come out ahead of Kastrioti on wins alone.
- Model gives Besa Kavaje a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kastrioti | Besa Kavaje |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.01 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kastrioti Compare
Besa Kavaje Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kastrioti scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Besa Kavaje has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Kastrioti remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kastrioti
(Home)Besa Kavaje
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laci | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 60:23 | 79 |
| 2 | Skenderbeu Korca | 33 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 57:25 | 77 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Kruja | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | 26 |
