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Kastrioti vs Shkumbini Peqin

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Nexha J.
45' Event
Gjinaj A.
53' Event
Diamanti G.

AI Match Summary

The Albanian Cup 2023/2024 game between Kastrioti and Shkumbini Peqin finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kastrioti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kastrioti
6%
Draws
4%
Shkumbini Peqin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kastrioti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kastrioti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kastrioti a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Albanian Cup 2023/2024 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 20%
Shkumbini Peqin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastrioti Shkumbini Peqin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 26
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Albanian Cup
Kastrioti vs Shkumbini Peqin
3:2
Feb 1, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Shkumbini Peqin
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Kastrioti
2:2
Mar 9, 2013 Abissnet Superiore
Kastrioti vs Shkumbini Peqin
1:0
Mar 6, 2013 Albanian Cup
Shkumbini Peqin vs Kastrioti
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kastrioti Compare

Top Goalscorer Diamanti G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gjinaj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shkumbini Peqin Compare

Top Goalscorer Nexha J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sejdini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastrioti 85 / 100
Shkumbini Peqin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastrioti Shkumbini Peqin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shkumbini Peqin conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Shkumbini Peqin lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kastrioti scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kastrioti VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kukesi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastrioti3
Shkumbini Peqin2
Beselidhja Lezha0
AF Elbasani3
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier4
Kucove0
Luzi3
Butrinti Sarande2
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca3
Delvina0
Turbina Cerrik4
Koplik0
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi4
KS Devolli0
Besa Kavaje3
Librazhd2
Laci-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana3
Iliria Kruja0
KF Oriku2
Pogradeci0
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tomori Berat1
Shenkolli0
Lushnja3
Laberia FC0
Erzeni Shijak-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis4
Murlani1
Terbuni Puka2
Vora4
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari2
AF Luftetari0
Burreli2
KF Valbona1
1/16-finals
Kukesi-
TBD-
Kastrioti2
AF Elbasani3
Partizani-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier2
Luzi1
Teuta-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca4
Turbina Cerrik0
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi3
Besa Kavaje2
Laci-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana2
KF Oriku0
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Tomori Berat0
Lushnja3
Erzeni Shijak-
TBD-
Bylis3
Vora2
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Flamurtari2
Burreli0
1/8-finals
Kukesi1
AF Elbasani0
Partizani3
Apolonia Fier1
Teuta2
Skenderbeu Korca0
KF Tirana3
Korabi Peshkopi0
Laci1
Dinamo Tirana0
KF Egnatia2
Lushnja0
Erzeni Shijak2
Bylis1
Vllaznia4
Flamurtari0
Quarter-finals
Kukesi2
Partizani1
Teuta1
KF Tirana2
Laci1
KF Egnatia4
Erzeni Shijak3
Vllaznia7
Semi-finals
Kukesi2
KF Tirana1
KF Egnatia2
Vllaznia1
Final
Kukesi0
KF Egnatia1