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Kasuka vs Cebu FC

Asia Asia

ASEAN Club Championship 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Njoku J.
Assist: Kobayashi D.
27' Event
Andes R.
31' Event
Njoku J.
Assist: Pedro Conceicao

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Kasuka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kasuka
20%
Draws
50%
Cebu FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cebu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Cebu FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cebu FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cebu FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kasuka, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kasuka Clean Sheet 10%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasuka Cebu FC
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1 2.52
Goals Conceded 3 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 3.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Cebu FC vs Kasuka
3:0
Aug 8, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Kasuka vs Cebu FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kasuka Compare

Top Goalscorer Njoku J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Cebu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andes R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.56
Avg xA / game 2.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasuka 10 / 100
Cebu FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasuka Cebu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cebu FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kasuka's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Cebu FC let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kasuka went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kasuka VS Cebu FC
1.33 Goals Scored 4.5
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasuka

(Home)
15 Sept
Kasuka
2 : 1
Karketu Dili
12 Sept
Kasuka
1 : 4
Manila Digger
04 Sept
Manila Digger
5 : 1
Kasuka
15 Aug
Cebu FC
3 : 0
Kasuka
12 Aug
Kasuka
0 : 6
Phnom Penh Crown
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Cebu FC

(Away)
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Stallion
1 : 1
Cebu FC
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
20 May
Taguig
1 : 1
Cebu FC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kasuka 2
Cebu FC 4
Ezra 1
Shan United 3