Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kasuka vs Phnom Penh Crown

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah Stadium, B. S. Begawan
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Long P.
64' Event
Long P.
67' Event
Dyer M.

AI Match Summary

Phnom Penh Crown in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Kasuka
20%
Draws
63%
Phnom Penh Crown
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Kasuka haven't matched Phnom Penh Crown's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Phnom Penh Crown a 63% chance of winning this.
  • Phnom Penh Crown arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Phnom Penh Crown, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Kasuka Clean Sheet 10%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasuka Phnom Penh Crown
Matches Played 8 32
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1 1.72
Goals Conceded 3 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 AFC Challenge League
Kasuka vs Phnom Penh Crown
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kasuka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Top Goalscorer Long P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dyer M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasuka 10 / 100
Phnom Penh Crown 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasuka Phnom Penh Crown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phnom Penh Crown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Kasuka scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Defensive concern: Phnom Penh Crown conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Kasuka remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kasuka VS Phnom Penh Crown
1.33 Goals Scored 0.75
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasuka

(Home)
15 Sept
Kasuka
2 : 1
Karketu Dili
12 Sept
Kasuka
1 : 4
Manila Digger
04 Sept
Manila Digger
5 : 1
Kasuka
15 Aug
Cebu FC
3 : 0
Kasuka
12 Aug
Kasuka
0 : 6
Phnom Penh Crown
Page 1 of 2

Phnom Penh Crown

(Away)
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Svay Rieng
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Abahani Limited Dhaka 0
Muras United 2
Maziya 0
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 4
Paro 1
Abu Muslim 0
Al Karamah 0
Bashundara Kings 1
Abdysh-Ata Kant 5
Hottin 2
Taiwan Steel 4
Khangarid 1
Falcons 3
Taichung Futuro 1
Ezra 2
Yangon United 1
Kasuka 0
Phnom Penh Crown 6