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Kataka vs Young Elephant

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kataka in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kataka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kataka
20%
Draws
40%
Young Elephant
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Young Elephant haven't matched Kataka's recent run of results.
  • Young Elephant are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kataka Clean Sheet 20%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kataka Young Elephant
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Big League
Kataka vs Young Elephant
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Big League
Young Elephant vs Kataka
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Big League
Kataka vs Young Elephant
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Big League
Young Elephant vs Kataka
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kataka 16 / 100
Young Elephant 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kataka Young Elephant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kataka's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Young Elephant has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kataka remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kataka VS Young Elephant
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kataka

(Home)
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0
Kataka
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
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Young Elephant

(Away)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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