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Katelijne vs Heur Tongeren

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Katelijne play Heur Tongeren in the Belgian Cup 2016/2017. Katelijne are favorites here. Recently, Katelijne averaged 1.84 goals scored and 3.16 conceded. Heur Tongeren averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. In past meetings, Katelijne won 1, Heur Tongeren won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 14, 2016 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Katelijne and 1.05 for Heur Tongeren. This points to a Katelijne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Katelijne
15%
Draws
14%
Heur Tongeren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Katelijne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Katelijne picked up more points recently compared to Heur Tongeren.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Katelijne Clean Sheet 22%
Heur Tongeren Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Katelijne Heur Tongeren
Matches Played 19 4
Wins 9 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.84 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.16 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2016 Belgian Cup
Katelijne vs Heur Tongeren
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Katelijne 68 / 100
Heur Tongeren 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Katelijne Heur Tongeren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Katelijne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Katelijne & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.7%
1.16
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Katelijne attacking → ← attacking Heur Tongeren

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Katelijne scored in 74% of their last 19 games.

Heur Tongeren let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Katelijne went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Heur Tongeren lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 3
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00