Sport Picks

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Kattaqurgon vs Aral

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kalmagambetov R.
90' Event
Narh F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pro Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kattaqurgon
15%
Draws
65%
Aral
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aral lately — more wins on the board than Kattaqurgon.
  • Aral are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet 18%
Aral Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kattaqurgon Aral
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 10 21
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.26 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Kattaqurgon
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Pro Liga
Kattaqurgon vs Aral
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kattaqurgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Narh F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aral Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmagambetov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kattaqurgon 10 / 100
Aral 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kattaqurgon Aral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kattaqurgon found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Aral has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Kattaqurgon went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kattaqurgon VS Aral
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kattaqurgon

(Home)
13 Sept
BuxDu
0 : 2
Kattaqurgon
07 Sept
Kattaqurgon
1 : 3
Respublika FA
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
21 Aug
Kattaqurgon
2 : 4
Gazalkent
15 Aug
Shortan Guzor
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
Page 1 of 4

Aral

(Away)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
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