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Kattaqurgon vs Metallurg Bekabad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
0 - 3
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kattaqurgon host Metallurg Bekabad in the Pro Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kattaqurgon have averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Metallurg Bekabad's 1.97 scored and 0.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Metallurg Bekabad slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.88 - 1.63) back Metallurg Bekabad to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Kattaqurgon
15%
Draws
71%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Metallurg Bekabad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Metallurg Bekabad a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet 14%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kattaqurgon Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Pro Liga
Kattaqurgon vs Metallurg Bekabad
0:3
May 31, 2026 Pro Liga
Metallurg Bekabad vs Kattaqurgon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kattaqurgon 10 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kattaqurgon Metallurg Bekabad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kattaqurgon scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Metallurg Bekabad has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Kattaqurgon went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kattaqurgon VS Metallurg Bekabad
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kattaqurgon

(Home)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
13 Sept
BuxDu
0 : 2
Kattaqurgon
07 Sept
Kattaqurgon
1 : 3
Respublika FA
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
21 Aug
Kattaqurgon
2 : 4
Gazalkent
Page 1 of 4

Metallurg Bekabad

(Away)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)