Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kauguri-PBLC vs Jelgava

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kauguri-PBLC in this 1. Liga 2007 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kauguri-PBLC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kauguri-PBLC
15%
Draws
37%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kauguri-PBLC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Jelgava haven't matched Kauguri-PBLC's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Kauguri-PBLC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kauguri-PBLC Clean Sheet 20%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kauguri-PBLC Jelgava
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 18 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.93 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2020 Latvian Cup
Kauguri-PBLC vs Jelgava
0:9
Oct 11, 2009 1. Liga
Jelgava vs Kauguri-PBLC
3:0
Sep 19, 2009 1. Liga
Kauguri-PBLC vs Jelgava
1:2
Oct 6, 2007 1. Liga
Kauguri-PBLC vs Jelgava
1:0
Jul 18, 2007 1. Liga
Jelgava vs Kauguri-PBLC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kauguri-PBLC 67 / 100
Jelgava 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kauguri-PBLC Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kauguri-PBLC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kauguri-PBLC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Jelgava has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Kauguri-PBLC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kauguri-PBLC

(Home)
24 Sept
Kauguri-PBLC
0 : 9
Jelgava
09 Sept
Priekuli
1 : 2
Kauguri-PBLC
21 Aug
Plavinas
0 : 6
Kauguri-PBLC
09 Aug
Kauguri-PBLC
6 : 1
Aliance
17 Jun
Kauguri-PBLC
3 : 4
Tukums 2000
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Jelgava

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
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