Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kauguri-PBLC vs Jelgava

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Soloveiciks V.
19' Event
Sow Y.
35' Event
Korzans R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-9, with Jelgava advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kauguri-PBLC
15%
Draws
37%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kauguri-PBLC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jelgava come out ahead of Kauguri-PBLC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kauguri-PBLC a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Jelgava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jelgava, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kauguri-PBLC Clean Sheet 20%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kauguri-PBLC Jelgava
Matches Played 30 50
Wins 18 19
Draws 4 12
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 2.93 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2020 Latvian Cup
Kauguri-PBLC vs Jelgava
0:9
Oct 11, 2009 1. Liga
Jelgava vs Kauguri-PBLC
3:0
Sep 19, 2009 1. Liga
Kauguri-PBLC vs Jelgava
1:2
Oct 6, 2007 1. Liga
Kauguri-PBLC vs Jelgava
1:0
Jul 18, 2007 1. Liga
Jelgava vs Kauguri-PBLC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kauguri-PBLC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Jelgava Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Korzans R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kauguri-PBLC 67 / 100
Jelgava 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kauguri-PBLC Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kauguri-PBLC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Kauguri-PBLC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Jelgava has conceded goals in 74% of their last 50 outings.

Solid form: Kauguri-PBLC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kauguri-PBLC

(Home)
24 Sept
Kauguri-PBLC
0 : 9
Jelgava
09 Sept
Priekuli
1 : 2
Kauguri-PBLC
21 Aug
Plavinas
0 : 6
Kauguri-PBLC
09 Aug
Kauguri-PBLC
6 : 1
Aliance
17 Jun
Kauguri-PBLC
3 : 4
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

Jelgava

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
Page 1 of 10

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 2
DSVK Traktors 1
TBD -
Grobina -
Valka -
TBD -
FK Karosta 4
Jurmalas 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
Dinamo Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
Liepajas FS 1
Jekabpils SC 4
TBD -
Rezekne -
Upesciems 1
FK Limbazi 3
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Gauja 2
Bebri 3
Lielupe 1
Priekuli 2
Plavinas 4
Sports United/Cesis 2
Kauguri-PBLC 6
Aliance 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils -
TBD -
Dobele Allegro 3
RTU 2
Marupe 0
Albatroz 1
Lubana 1
Kalupe 13
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Tente 4
Krimulda 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Super Nova -
TBD -
Salaspils FK 4
Fk Jurnieks Riga 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/32-finals
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 1
Grobina 7
Valka 2
FK Karosta 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Dinamo Riga 7
FK Alberts 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
Jekabpils SC 0
Rezekne 3
FK Limbazi 0
Alberts JDFS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Bebri 1
Priekuli 2
Plavinas 0
Kauguri-PBLC 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 7
Dobele Allegro 0
Albatroz 5
Kalupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Tente 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Super Nova 3
Salaspils FK 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/16-finals
Grobina 3
FK Karosta 0
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 3
Dinamo Riga 4
TBD -
Valmiera -
Rezekne 2
Alberts JDFS 1
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Priekuli 1
Kauguri-PBLC 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 3
Albatroz 2
TBD -
Ventspils -
FK Auda Riga 5
Super Nova 1
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/8-finals
Grobina 2
Spartaks Jurmala 5
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Valmiera 5
Rezekne 1
Tukums 2000 3
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Jelgava 9
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 0
Ventspils 4
FK Auda Riga 0
RFS 8
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 0
Quarter-finals
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 3
Valmiera 1
Tukums 2000 0
Jelgava 0
Ventspils 1
RFS 3
Riga FC 2
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
Ventspils 1
RFS 0
Final
FK Liepaja 1
Ventspils 0