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Kaunas United vs Granitas Vilnius

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2010/2011
Wed, Aug 25, 2010
2 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Granitas Vilnius in this Lithuanian Cup 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Granitas Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kaunas United
20%
Draws
38%
Granitas Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaunas United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Granitas Vilnius have won more games recently than Kaunas United.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kaunas United taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Lithuanian Cup 2010/2011 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Granitas Vilnius here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kaunas United Clean Sheet 10%
Granitas Vilnius Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaunas United Granitas Vilnius
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 0 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.33 2.5
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2012 Lithuanian Cup
Granitas Vilnius vs Kaunas United
3:0
Aug 31, 2011 Lithuanian Cup
Granitas Vilnius vs Kaunas United
2:1
Aug 25, 2010 Lithuanian Cup
Kaunas United vs Granitas Vilnius
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaunas United 40 / 100
Granitas Vilnius 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaunas United Granitas Vilnius

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaunas United found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (11 games).

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Granitas Vilnius conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Granitas Vilnius's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaunas United VS Granitas Vilnius
1.33 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Banga2
FK Klaipeda0
Vidzgiris Alytus0
Ekranas1
Siauliai1
Suduva0
Tauras Taurage2
FBK Kaunas3
Semi-finals
Siauliai2
Ekranas4
FBK Kaunas1
Banga6
Final
Ekranas4
Banga2