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Kavala vs Aetos Ofryniou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kavala host Aetos Ofryniou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Kavala at 1.23 goals for, 1.32 against; Aetos Ofryniou at 1.57 for, 2.03 against. Past meetings favor Kavala slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2019, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.56 vs 1.25, favoring Kavala. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Kavala
20%
Draws
7%
Aetos Ofryniou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kavala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Aetos Ofryniou's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Kavala have produced (1.23).
  • Kavala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kavala Clean Sheet 19%
Aetos Ofryniou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kavala Aetos Ofryniou
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aetos Ofryniou vs Kavala
1:2
Nov 25, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Aetos Ofryniou
1:0
Feb 25, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Aetos Ofryniou
1:2
Nov 19, 2017 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aetos Ofryniou vs Kavala
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kavala 85 / 100
Aetos Ofryniou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kavala Aetos Ofryniou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aetos Ofryniou let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Kavala's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kavala stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kavala VS Aetos Ofryniou
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kavala

(Home)
18 Oct
Apollon Paralimniou
1 : 3
Kavala
10 Oct
Thrakis
0 : 1
Kavala
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
Page 1 of 7

Aetos Ofryniou

(Away)
18 Oct
Sidirochori
3 : 3
Aetos Ofryniou
10 Oct
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 1
Xanthi
08 Apr
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Aetos Ofryniou
05 Apr
Poseidonas Michanionas
2 : 1
Aetos Ofryniou
01 Apr
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 7
Xanthi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doxa Dramas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Xanthi 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Kavala 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 MAS Ardas Kastanion 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
5 Pontion Nea Amisos 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Sidirochori 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
7 Aetos Ofryniou 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
8 Eleftheroupolis 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
9 Thrakis 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
10 Apollon Paralimniou 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)