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Kavala vs Eleftheroupolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kavala host Eleftheroupolis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. Kavala are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Kavala at 1.23 goals for, 1.32 against; Eleftheroupolis at 0.83 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Kavala have won 1 to Eleftheroupolis's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2015, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.08) back Kavala to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Kavala
30%
Draws
12%
Eleftheroupolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kavala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kavala come out ahead of Eleftheroupolis on wins alone.
  • Kavala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kavala Clean Sheet 20%
Eleftheroupolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kavala Eleftheroupolis
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.23 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Football League 2 - Group A
Kavala vs Eleftheroupolis
3:1
Nov 16, 2014 Football League 2 - Group A
Eleftheroupolis vs Kavala
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kavala 85 / 100
Eleftheroupolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kavala Eleftheroupolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eleftheroupolis has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kavala scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kavala stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kavala VS Eleftheroupolis
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Kavala

(Home)
18 Oct
Apollon Paralimniou
1 : 3
Kavala
10 Oct
Thrakis
0 : 1
Kavala
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
Page 1 of 7

Eleftheroupolis

(Away)
18 Oct
Eleftheroupolis
0 : 4
Doxa Dramas
10 Oct
Sidirochori
2 : 2
Eleftheroupolis
17 May
Eleftheroupolis
0 : 0
Aris
10 May
Eleftheroupolis
0 : 1
Ethnikos Alexandroupoli
03 May
Thyella Filotas
2 : 0
Eleftheroupolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doxa Dramas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Xanthi 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Kavala 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 MAS Ardas Kastanion 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
5 Pontion Nea Amisos 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Sidirochori 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
7 Aetos Ofryniou 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
8 Eleftheroupolis 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
9 Thrakis 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
10 Apollon Paralimniou 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)