Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kavala vs Panserraikos Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2025/2026
Tue, Aug 19, 2025
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Ivan A.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Bregu R.
1' Event
Sifneos M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Kavala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kavala
20%
Draws
40%
Panserraikos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Panserraikos have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Kavala are scoring more at 1.1.
  • Win probability leans Kavala's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Kavala, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kavala Clean Sheet 20%
Panserraikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kavala Panserraikos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2025 Greek Cup
Kavala vs Panserraikos
2:1
Aug 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Panserraikos vs Kavala
4:0
Apr 17, 2022 Super League 2
Panserraikos vs Kavala
2:0
Jan 23, 2022 Super League 2
Kavala vs Panserraikos
2:2
May 8, 2021 Football League
Panserraikos vs Kavala
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kavala Compare

Top Goalscorer Bregu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Panserraikos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kavala 67 / 100
Panserraikos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kavala Panserraikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Kavala scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Panserraikos has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Kavala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kavala VS Panserraikos
2.33 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kavala

(Home)
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1
PAOK B
Page 1 of 6

Panserraikos

(Away)
03 Oct
Panthrakikos
1 : 1
Panserraikos
27 Sept
Panserraikos
4 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus B
20 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 1
Panserraikos
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Panserraikos
1 : 0
Asteras Tripolis B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Giannina 0
Volos 4
Kavala 2
Panserraikos 1
Kampaniakos 0
Athens Kallithea 1
Ellas Syrou 1
Chrisoupolis 0
Kalamata 1
AEL Larissa 2
PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 0
Marko 1
Makedonikos Neapolis 1
Levadiakos 2
Karditsa 1
Kifisia 2
PAE Egaleo 2
Panargiakos 1
Panionios 1
Iraklis FC 2
Niki Volos 1
Panetolikos 2