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Stadium Background

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Derik Lacerda
29' Event
Otabor K.
42'
Abe K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Kawasaki Frontale
30%
Draws
9%
Tochigi SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kawasaki Frontale come out ahead of Tochigi SC on wins alone.
  • Kawasaki Frontale are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Kawasaki Frontale have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kawasaki Frontale, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 20%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kawasaki Frontale Tochigi SC
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.44 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozeki Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Konno K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tochigi SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Otabor K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kawasaki Frontale 76 / 100
Tochigi SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kawasaki Frontale Tochigi SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kawasaki Frontale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kawasaki Frontale has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kawasaki Frontale scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Tochigi SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kawasaki Frontale VS Tochigi SC
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kawasaki Frontale

(Home)
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6

Tochigi SC

(Away)
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -