Sport Picks

Philippines

PFL Rizal Memorial Stadium

Kaya FC

3 - 1

Davao Aguilas

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Rey G.

77'

Komaki S.

82'

Bedic J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kaya FC in this PFL matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaya FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Kaya FC

11%

Draws

Davao Aguilas

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kaya FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Kaya FC lately — more wins on the board than Davao Aguilas.
Win probability leans Kaya FC's way, sitting at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Kaya FC Clean Sheet 17%

Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kaya FC	Davao Aguilas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	13
Draws	3	7
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	2.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 PFL

Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Apr 12, 2026 PFL

Davao Aguilas vs Kaya FC

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Sep 13, 2025 PFL

Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Feb 16, 2025 PFL

Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Oct 6, 2024 PFL

Davao Aguilas vs Kaya FC

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rey G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Komaki S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Davao Aguilas Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes Pena J. A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaya FC 75 / 100

Davao Aguilas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kaya FC Davao Aguilas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAY Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaya FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Davao Aguilas conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kaya FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaya FC VS Davao Aguilas

2.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manila Digger	25	18	6	1	109:17	60
2	Taguig	25	18	4	3	91:15	58
3	Kaya FC	25	15	3	7	76:21	48
4	Cebu FC	25	14	6	5	74:25	48
5	Davao Aguilas	25	12	4	9	51:34	40
6	Stallion	25	9	10	6	64:31	37