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Kayanza United vs Le Messager Ngozi

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Kayanza United and Le Messager Ngozi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kayanza United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kayanza United
22%
Draws
60%
Le Messager Ngozi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Le Messager Ngozi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Kayanza United haven't matched Le Messager Ngozi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Le Messager Ngozi a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kayanza United Clean Sheet 20%
Le Messager Ngozi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayanza United Le Messager Ngozi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Le Messager Ngozi
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Primus League
Le Messager Ngozi vs Kayanza United
2:3
Jan 19, 2025 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Le Messager Ngozi
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Primus League
Le Messager Ngozi vs Kayanza United
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Le Messager Ngozi
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayanza United 20 / 100
Le Messager Ngozi 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayanza United Le Messager Ngozi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kayanza United scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Le Messager Ngozi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Kayanza United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kayanza United VS Le Messager Ngozi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847