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Kayanza United vs Rukinzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kayanza United host Rukinzo in the Primus League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Kayanza United at 1.17 goals for, 1.5 against; Rukinzo at 1.76 for, 0.76 against. Head-to-head, Kayanza United have won 0 to Rukinzo's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (0.63 - 0.63) back Rukinzo to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kayanza United
35%
Draws
36%
Rukinzo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rukinzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rukinzo lately — more wins on the board than Kayanza United.
  • Rukinzo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rukinzo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kayanza United Clean Sheet 20%
Rukinzo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayanza United Rukinzo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 14 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Primus League
Rukinzo vs Kayanza United
4:1
Nov 12, 2025 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Rukinzo
1:2
Apr 20, 2025 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Rukinzo
0:2
Dec 5, 2024 Primus League
Rukinzo vs Kayanza United
4:2
May 12, 2024 Coupe du President
Kayanza United vs Rukinzo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayanza United 20 / 100
Rukinzo 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayanza United Rukinzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rukinzo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kayanza United scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Kayanza United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Rukinzo conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kayanza United VS Rukinzo
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kayanza United

(Home)
10 Oct
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
04 Oct
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Inter Star
27 Sept
Ngozi City
1 : 0
Kayanza United
30 Aug
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Vital'O
19 Aug
Young Star
0 : 0
Kayanza United
Page 1 of 6

Rukinzo

(Away)
03 Oct
Rukinzo
7 : 0
Young Star
13 Sept
Rukinzo
1 : 2
Durban City
06 Sept
Durban City
1 : 0
Rukinzo
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
19 Aug
Musongati
0 : 0
Rukinzo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Muzinga 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
3 Aigle Noir 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
4 Le Messager Ngozi 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
5 Ngozi City 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
6 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 9:1 8
7 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 7:10 8
8 Bumamuru 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
9 Olympic Star 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
10 Flambeau du Centre 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
11 Kayanza United 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
12 Never Give Up Academy 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
13 Musongati 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
15 Panthere Noir 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
16 Young Star 6 0 1 5 2:19 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)