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Kayserispor vs Bursaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu, Kayseri
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Babacan A.
31' Event
Hasani F.
(Penalty)
45'
Lincoln

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Kayserispor and Bursaspor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bursaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kayserispor
20%
Draws
40%
Bursaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bursaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kayserispor a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 68%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayserispor Bursaspor
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 23
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.18 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1. Lig
Kayserispor vs Bursaspor
1:2
Jan 26, 2019 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs Bursaspor
1:1
Aug 18, 2018 Super Lig
Bursaspor vs Kayserispor
0:0
Mar 2, 2018 Super Lig
Bursaspor vs Kayserispor
1:0
Sep 30, 2017 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs Bursaspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kayserispor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Babacan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayserispor 59 / 100
Bursaspor 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayserispor Bursaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kayserispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kayserispor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kayserispor scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Bursaspor has conceded goals in 35% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kayserispor VS Bursaspor
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kayserispor

(Home)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6

Bursaspor

(Away)
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)