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Kayserispor vs Manisa FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu, Kayseri
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Gureler Y.
38' Event
Keser B.
46'
Sub
Gureler Y. In: Kaynak O.
Out: Gureler Y.

AI Match Summary

Kayserispor in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kayserispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Kayserispor
20%
Draws
6%
Manisa FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kayserispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Manisa FK have won more games recently than Kayserispor.
  • Model gives Kayserispor a 74% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kayserispor have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 20%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayserispor Manisa FK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 1. Lig
Kayserispor vs Manisa FK
3:2
Dec 19, 2019 Turkish Cup
Manisa FK vs Kayserispor
3:3
Dec 5, 2019 Turkish Cup
Kayserispor vs Manisa FK
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Keser B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Manisa FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Cankaya A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sylla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayserispor 85 / 100
Manisa FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayserispor Manisa FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kayserispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Kayserispor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kayserispor scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Manisa FK conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kayserispor VS Manisa FK
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kayserispor

(Home)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6

Manisa FK

(Away)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2
Manisa FK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
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