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Kayserispor vs Muglaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu, Kayseri
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kayserispor host Muglaspor in the 1. Lig. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Kayserispor at 1.29 goals for, 1.32 against; Muglaspor at 1.17 for, 0.79 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.75 - 1.00) back Muglaspor to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Kayserispor
35%
Draws
21%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kayserispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Kayserispor average 1.29 goals a game right now, well clear of Muglaspor's 1.17.
  • Kayserispor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 20%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayserispor Muglaspor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayserispor 85 / 100
Muglaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayserispor Muglaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kayserispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Kayserispor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kayserispor scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Muglaspor has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Muglaspor has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kayserispor VS Muglaspor
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kayserispor

(Home)
18 Oct
Kayserispor
2 : 2
Batman Petrolspor
14 Oct
Antalyaspor
0 : 4
Kayserispor
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
Page 1 of 6

Muglaspor

(Away)
19 Oct
Manisa FK
3 : 4
Muglaspor
15 Oct
Muglaspor
0 : 3
Bursaspor
11 Oct
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Muglaspor
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 11 8 2 1 24:7 26
2 Igdir FK 12 8 2 2 17:9 26
3 Bursaspor 11 8 1 2 22:9 25
4 Keciorengucu 11 5 5 1 21:11 20
5 Batman Petrolspor 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Mardin 1969 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Antalyaspor 11 6 0 5 17:17 18
8 Sariyer 11 4 4 3 14:15 16
9 Muglaspor 11 3 6 2 13:14 15
10 Bandirmaspor 12 3 5 4 17:10 14
11 Bodrumspor 11 3 5 3 13:10 14
12 Umraniyespor 11 3 4 4 13:10 13
13 F. Karagumruk 11 3 4 4 14:15 13
14 Sivasspor 12 2 7 3 15:18 13
15 Erokspor 11 2 6 3 10:13 12
16 Manisa FK 11 2 4 5 18:20 10
17 Vanspor FK 12 3 3 6 13:22 10
18 Pendikspor 11 2 4 5 12:21 10
19 Istanbulspor AS 11 1 2 8 9:26 5
20 Boluspor 11 0 1 10 3:25 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)