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Kayserispor vs Sivasspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu, Kayseri
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Keser B.
Assist: Tabidze J.
31'
Seferi T.
45'
Saglam G.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Kayserispor and Sivasspor finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kayserispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kayserispor
35%
Draws
27%
Sivasspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kayserispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Sivasspor haven't matched Kayserispor's recent run of results.
  • Kayserispor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sivasspor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 68%
Sivasspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayserispor Sivasspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.18 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 1. Lig
Kayserispor vs Sivasspor
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Super Lig
Sivasspor vs Kayserispor
5:2
Aug 17, 2024 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs Sivasspor
1:2
May 25, 2024 Super Lig
Sivasspor vs Kayserispor
2:1
Jan 7, 2024 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs Sivasspor
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Keser B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seferi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sivasspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayserispor 77 / 100
Sivasspor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayserispor Sivasspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kayserispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivasspor has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Kayserispor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kayserispor found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Kayserispor VS Sivasspor
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kayserispor

(Home)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
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Sivasspor

(Away)
09 Oct
Sivasspor
4 : 1
Pendikspor
19 Sept
Keciorengucu
1 : 1
Sivasspor
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)