Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Astana Arena, Astana

Kazakhstan U21

1 - 1

Moldova U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Bagdat R.

31'

Bagdat R.

40'

Turganov A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Kazakhstan U21

22%

Draws

60%

Moldova U21

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Moldova U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Moldova U21 lately — more wins on the board than Kazakhstan U21.
Moldova U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Kazakhstan U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Moldova U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kazakhstan U21	Moldova U21
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	6
Draws	5	6
Losses	21	18
Goals Scored	0.5	1
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 Euro U21

Kazakhstan U21 vs Moldova U21

1:1

Jan 17, 2016 CIS Cup

Kazakhstan U21 vs Moldova U21

0:1

Jan 27, 2013 CIS Cup

Kazakhstan U21 vs Moldova U21

0:1

Jan 29, 2012 CIS Cup

Kazakhstan U21 vs Moldova U21

4:3

Jun 28, 2006 Euro U21

Moldova U21 vs Kazakhstan U21

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kazakhstan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagdat R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Moldova U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazakhstan U21 20 / 100

Moldova U21 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kazakhstan U21 Moldova U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moldova U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Kazakhstan U21 scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Kazakhstan U21 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kazakhstan U21 VS Moldova U21

0.5 Goals Scored 1

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kazakhstan U21

(Home)

08 Jun

Belarus U21

2 : 1

Kazakhstan U21

05 Jun

Belarus U21

2 : 0

Kazakhstan U21

31 Mar

Kazakhstan U21

0 : 1

Ireland U21

27 Mar

Kazakhstan U21

1 : 3

Slovakia U21

17 Nov

Kazakhstan U21

1 : 1

Moldova U21

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Moldova U21

(Away)

09 Jun

Moldova U21

3 : 2

Georgia U21

04 Jun

Moldova U21

3 : 0

Malta U21

31 Mar

England U21

4 : 1

Moldova U21

26 Mar

Ireland U21

1 : 1

Moldova U21

17 Nov

Kazakhstan U21

1 : 1

Moldova U21

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