Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Astana Arena, Astana

Kazakhstan

1 - 1

Belgium

Our Tip

Match Events

Satpaev D.

29'

Tapalov E.

40'

Onana A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Kazakhstan

20%

Draws

47%

Belgium

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Belgium lately — more wins on the board than Kazakhstan.
Model gives Belgium a 47% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Belgium have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 12%

Belgium Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kazakhstan	Belgium
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	6	14
Draws	4	8
Losses	18	7
Goals Scored	0.86	2.34
Goals Conceded	1.89	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	0.69	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship

Kazakhstan vs Belgium

1:1

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship

Belgium vs Kazakhstan

6:0

Oct 13, 2019 Euro

Kazakhstan vs Belgium

0:2

Jun 8, 2019 Euro

Belgium vs Kazakhstan

3:0

Oct 7, 2011 Euro

Belgium vs Kazakhstan

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kazakhstan Compare

Top Goalscorer Satpaev D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.53

Avg xA / game 0.34

Belgium Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanaken H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazakhstan 22 / 100

Belgium 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kazakhstan Belgium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Belgium's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Kazakhstan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kazakhstan scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kazakhstan VS Belgium

0.75 Goals Scored 2.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kazakhstan

(Home)

09 Jun

Hungary

3 : 1

Kazakhstan

06 Jun

Armenia

1 : 1

Kazakhstan

31 Mar

Kazakhstan

1 : 0

Comoros

25 Mar

Kazakhstan

2 : 0

Namibia

18 Nov

Faroe Islands

1 : 0

Kazakhstan

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Belgium

(Away)

10 Jul

Spain

2 : 1

Belgium

07 Jul

USA

1 : 4

Belgium

01 Jul

Belgium

3 : 2

Senegal

27 Jun

New Zealand

1 : 5

Belgium

21 Jun

Belgium

0 : 0

Iran

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